2004 Result Summary | 2008 Results | Elections | President Ratings

Percent of Popular Vote by State 2000 Red Blue States
ECV - Electoral College Votes
See 2004 election summary below.

Democratic States
State ECV % votes Difference
Bush-Gore
2000 2004 Gore Bush Nader
DC 3 3 85.2 9 5.2 -76.2
RI 4 4 61 31.9 6.1 -29.1
MA 12 12 59.1 32.1 6.4 -27
NY 33 31 59 34.5 3.6 -24.5
HI 4 4 55.8 37.5 5.9 -18.3 †
CT 8 7 55.9 38.4 4.4 -17.5
MD 10 10 56.5 40.2 2.7 -16.3
NJ 15 15 56.1 40.3 3.0 -15.8 †
DE 3 3 55 41.9 2.5 -13.1
IL 22 21 54.6 42.6 2.2 -12
CA 54 55 53.5 41.7 3.8 -11.8
VT 3 3 50.6 40.7 6.9 -9.9
WA 11 11 50.2 44.6 4.1 -5.6 †
MI 18 17 51.3 46.2 2.0 -5.1 †
ME 4 4 49.1 44 5.7 -5.1 †
PA 23 21 50.6 46.4 2.1 -4.2
MN 10 10 47.9 45.5 5.2 -2.4 †
OR 7 7 47 46.5 5.0 -0.4 †
IA 7 7 47.2 46.9 2.2 -0.3
WI 11 10 47.8 47.6 3.6 -0.2
NM 5 5 47.9 47.9 3.6 -0.06
267 260 3.5
2004 Swing States a/o 2003
2004 Tossup a/o Oct. 15 2004
Switched from Democratic to Republican in 2004
Switched from Republican to Democrat in 2004
† NJ, WA, HI, ME, MI and MN were not solid a/o Oct.15

See below for 2004 results. New Mexico, Iowa and New Hampsire changed in 2004.



Republican States
State ECV % votes Difference
Bush-Gore
2000 2004 Gore Bush Nader
WY 3 3 28.3 69.2 2.1 40.9
UT 5 5 26.3 66.8 4.7 40.5
ID 4 4 27.6 67.2 2.5 39.5
AK 3 3 27.7 58.6 10.1 31
NE 5 5 33.3 62.3 3.5 29
ND 3 3 33.1 60.7 3.3 27.6
MT 3 3 33.4 58.4 5.9 25.1
SD 3 3 37.6 60.3   22.7
OK 8 7 38.4 60.3   21.9
TX 32 34 38 59.3 2.2 21.3
KS 6 6 37.2 58 3.4 20.8
MS 7 6 40.7 57.6 0.8 16.9
SC 8 8 40.9 56.9 1.5 16
IN 12 11 41 56.7 0.8 15.6
KY 8 8 41.4 56.5 1.5 15.1
AL 9 9 41.6 56.5 1.1 14.9
NC 14 15 43.2 56   12.8
GA 13 15 43.2 55 0.5 11.8
CO 8 9 42.4 50.8 5.3 8.4 †
VA 13 13 44.4 52.5 2.2 8
LA 9 9 44.9 52.6 1.2 7.7
WV 5 5 45.6 51.9 1.6 6.3 †
AZ 8 10 44.7 51 3.0 6.3 †
AR 6 6 45.9 51.3 1.5 5.4 †
TN 11 11 47.3 51.2 1.0 3.9 *
OH 21 20 46.4 50 2.5 3.6
NV 4 5 45.9 49.5 2.5 3.5
MO 11 11 47.1 50.4 1.6 3.3 †
NH 4 4 46.8 48.1 3.9 1.3
FL 25 27 48.8 48.9 1.6 0.01
271 278 2.1
All 538 48.4 47.9 2.7 -0.5
*TN Will be more solid for republicans without Gore on the ticket in 2004.
† CO, AZ, WV, MO and AR were not solid a/o Oct.15
Source: lists.electorama.com/pipermail/election-methods-electorama.com/2001-December/006899.html and fec.gov/.

All but two states, Maine and Nebraska, have a winner-take-all system in which a popular vote decides which candidates will be given all of a given state's electoral votes.

Percentage of Voting Age Population casting a vote for President: 51%
Source: fec.gov/
Results by state for all candidates.

2004 Results
New Mexico (0.8%) and Iowa (0.9%) changed from Blue to Red (Republican)
New Hampsire changed from Red to Blue (-1.3%) (Democratic with 1.3% margin)

ECV: Bush - 286, Kerry - 252

See 2004 results at CNN, Yahoo and Wikipedia.
Party Label (Candidate 2000/2004) 20002004
Votes %Votes %
Democrat (Gore/Kerry) 50,999,897 48.3857,781,877 48.1
Republican (George W. Bush) 50,456,002 47.8761,121,520 50.9
Green (Ralph Nader/Cobb) 2,882,955 †2.74107,1350.09
Reform/Independent (Hagelin/Ralph Nader) .08427,637 0.36
Patrick J. Buchanan (Reform/Independent) 448,895 .42
Libertarian (Harry Browne/Badnarik) 384,431 .36392,861 0.33
Constitution (Howard Phillips/Peroutka) .09149,0270.13
Write-In (Miscellaneous) .02
James E. Harris, Jr.
(Socialist Workers)
.01
Total 105,405,100 120,070,437
† Nader % in Republican states - 2.1%; Democratic States - 3.5%

See 2004 Results by Group

The 11 states with the largest population account for more than half of EC Votes.

StateECVMargin
CA 55 -11.8%
TX 34 21.3
NY 31 -24.5
FL 27 0.01
IL 21 -12.0
PA 21 -4.2%
OH 20 3.6
MI 17 -5.1
NJ 15 -15.8
NC 15 12.8
GA 15 11.8
1960 Results: Democrat (Kennedy) - 49.94% | Republican (Nixon) - 49.77%
Differences from 2000:
Republican: CA, OR, WA, HI, IA, WI, VT, ME
Democratic: NV, TX, MO, AR, LA, AL, GA, SC, NC, WV
Map at UVA

See Also:
Some results by county in 2006
US Presidential Election Maps: 1860-1996 at U. Virginia
Visualizing Presidential Election Results at UMD
County Voting Patterns in US Presidential Elections, 1976-2000
2004 Projections at PresidentElect.org
County by County Presidential Election Map
Maps at Washington Post
Presidential Elections 1789-2000 Results by county at USA TODAY
Red States feed, Blue states Supply at TaxProf Blog


2004 Candidates Narrow Focus to 18 States
Battle Has Begun In Most-Contested Areas of Nation
www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A58663-2004Mar14.html

Excerpts from story by Dan Balz and Jim VandeHei
Washington Post Staff Writers
Monday, March 15, 2004; Page A01

...

Strategists for President Bush and Democratic Sen. John F. Kerry (Mass.) already have conceded a majority of the states to one another, with the election likely to turn on battles in fewer than 18 states.

The principal battlegrounds range from familiar swing states of Missouri, Ohio and Pennsylvania to new arrivals of Nevada, West Virginia and Minnesota that reflect changing demographics or the clash of cultural values that can affect voters' behavior as much as the unemployment rate.


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last updated 23 Nov 2004